If there would be another Civil War in Nigeria? Here are the Immediate Reasons why it would be:

If there would be another Civil War in Nigeria?

Here are the Immediate Reasons why it would be:

I Actions of President Buhari since he took office May 2015

a)      Even though Ex-President Jonathan (Extract from South) executed and was executing more projects in the North than the South and much less in South South and South East, on assumption of office, President Buhari(Northern Extraction) had suspended or stopped more than 80% of all Projects being executed by Ex-President Jonathan in the south and on the other hand even though more projects were being executed in the North he has not suspended any being executed in the North. Namely he had suspended or stopped the following: i) Second Niger Bridge even though it was not to cost the government one extra dime apart from what had already been paid by Ex-President Jonathan, since it would have been a BOT (Build Operate and Transfer) project by Julius Berger. With this action which could have only been triggered by some intrinsic malice, what had been paid out by Ex-President Jonathan and amount committed by Julius Berger are wasted. b) East-West Road a strategic road in Niger Delta c) Maritime University, even though a special police college and extra 11 universities were built or being executed in the North by Ex-President Jonathan, President Buhari did not suspend nor stop any of them but the only one being executed in the Niger Delta was promptly suspended by President Buhari and same with number of other projects  being executed by Ex-President Jonathan in SE, SW and SS. d) The amnesty program delicately put in place by Ex-President Yaradua and maintained by President-Jonathan was grossly starved of fund that perhaps less than 40% of what was required to run the program is being released. E) The Niger Delta Ministry apart from over 500billion it was owed was further starved of funds that less than 40% of money it required is being released to it yet President Buhari substantially increased allocation to his North East.

b)      With assumption of office by President Buhari, his kinsmen notoriously known as Fulani Herdsmen extended the grazing-land grabbing they had been doing in other Northern states for the last 15year that had the herdsmen kill over 5000 people and property damage approaching $500 million to South West, South South and South East! Several people had been kidnapped in the South West, South South and South East and scores of people killed and properties worth millions of Naira destroyed by Fulani Herdsmen in several South Western states; in South South the story is the same. In south East it is fresh in our mind how the Fulani Herdsmen ransacked a village in Enugu state with over 50 lives wasted and property damage running into several millions of Naira despite the fact that the Police commissioner in that state was appropriately and timely briefed by the Governor of the state  before the attack, he completely turned his eye to elsewhere while the arson was going on, it was clear that somebody else more powerful than the Governor of the state ordered him to stay action on the arsonist, your guess is as good as mine. On all this major insecurity and potentially explosive national security breached the President never condemned his kinsmen and its instructive he was the patron of the cattle herdsmen before he became Nigeria President; rather what the President allegedly did was to push for a national grazing bill that would perhaps force largely unwilling states to map out grazing lands for the Fulani Herdsmen note it is for the private business of the Fulani cattle herders! It is probably in Nigeria and other crude and backward African countries that cattle is still being grazed in the bush and peoples farm land and instead of the President to do a holistic reform of cattle rearing to improve productivity, he is sticking to a wasteful grazing method that has seen thousands of farmers first ravaged by Fulani cattle and then killed by the Fulani herders!

c)       Since assumption of office, despite the Federal Character status in appointments, the President had from time to time skewed his appointment to the North and in particular to his North East to the extent nearly 80% of his appointments are from the North and even till now he has not deemed it necessary, for the sake of national security to reverse his approach to appointment even though he has seen the tension building up.

d)      With glowing tension and many people being provoked beyond limits particularly in the South, many people even from his North have called for urgent restructuring and true federalism but he and the vice-president had openly rejected restructuring! Furthermore the Conference that President Jonathan midwifed which would have reasonably doused the rising tension in the nation, the President was allegedly quoted that he had not read it or something like that. What this meant is that the President is not willing to make use of that document for any reason and yet tension kept rising amongst ethnic nationalities; the other day a Muslim slit the throat of a woman preacher right in Abuja the nation’s capital and host of other issues.

II Action of the Nigeria Cabals

The Nigeria cabals comprising of serving and retired Generals, Top Nigeria politicians, top civil servants and some top captains of industry from all geo-polities but in particular those from Hausa/Fulani extraction and some selected from South West who believed that they won the war against Igbos and therefore owners of Nigeria and resources in it would never want a federal Nigeria nor a restructured Nigeria but rather a unitary Nigeria that suits their purpose namely extracting from everyone and in particular Niger Delta and dispensing it to themselves as they deem fit. A truly federal Nigeria would see the cabals s it is constituted out of business of looting as is evident in the past 50 years that monies in the accounts of each of these cabals can feed a state for years even if it had no other source of income. So despite the expedience of restructuring and enshrining true federalism the cabals would rather opt for military re-conquest so that they may further strengthen their position to lord it over all and sundry. Otherwise a properly negotiated Nigeria had reasonably been reached at the last national conference that would have ensured reasonable equity for the federating units but even though you can’t lay hands on evidence but it couldn’t have been any other group that made sure that the conference decisions were not implemented. The question is who is afraid of a just Federal Nigeria; the answer is simple the cabals! So while it may seem as if it is the President’s urge for show of fire power that made him to do what he did apparently the cabals hand twisted him to ensure the cabals position. The question any right thinking person on earth should ask is what really is wrong with leadership after leadership to the extent that despite the huge resources Nigeria is endowed with Nigeria was and is navigating to a failed state. The cabals are the problems of the nation, period. Even if the entire Niger Delta is to be incinerated with Bombs as it is becoming obvious, it is not for the resources to be acquired militarily to be used by rest of Nigerians but for the cabals to continue their accustomed looting till the end of time! Having dwelt on this matter for a length of time I am convinced that even after the destruction of lives and properties in Niger Delta to secure resources to be looted by the cabalas, the Niger Delta people would recover and will once again ask question about their enslavement and who knows the children children of the cabals who would mix them in morass now would be in charge of all instruments of coercion and once more; freshdynamite and bombs and probably once more defeated and looting continues! The question is when the enslavement of Nigerians and in particular Niger delta stop would. The answer is simple it is either Nigeria Dies or the cabals die! Why we are talking about Niger Delta now is because that is where the resources the cabals are looting is domicile the cabals would no doubt decimate the people of any geo-polity who dares them as regard taking resources they would loot! After all the ordinary Hausa/Fulani man or Yoruba man is as marginalized as the rest of Igbos and Niger Delta.

III Poor Calculations by the various Militants

Finally the militants should have understand the mindset of the Nigeria cabals and know that the only thing they want is to get resources from whoever have it and gather in their caucus and share it and such should have concentrated in tactical deprivation of use of the resources against the cabals until such a time the cabals are tired and consent to a re-structured Nigeria where true federalism is practiced instead of declaring a republic which is open license for the Cabals to use their last drop of blood and all the military power to ensure availability of resources to be looted. Whichever way this confrontation would go I hope that future militants should learn and deal with the cabals to a standstill and perhaps help to save the country from the death grip of the Nigeria cabals.